Study: By 2100, Sea Level Could Rise 40cm

The giant ice caps contain enough frozen water to raise the ocean 65 meters, and

researchers are increasingly concerned that their melting rate matches the UN's worst-case sea level rise scenarios.

Experts from more than three dozenresearch institutes have used ocean temperature and salinity data to create several computer models simulating the potential ice loss in Greenland and Antarctic glaciers. They tracked two climate scenarios: one in which humankind continues to pollute the environment at current levels, and another in which carbon emissions plummet by the year 2100.

They found that under the high emissions scenario, the loss of ice in Antarctica would lead to a sea level rise of 30 cm by the end of the century, and the melting of Greenland would add another 9 cm.

Such an increase will have devastatingimpacts around the world, increasing the destructive power of storm surges and exposing coastal areas where hundreds of millions of people live to repeated and severe flooding.

Even in the lower emission scenario, the Greenland sheet will raise ocean levels by about 3 cm by 2100.

ISMIP6 refers to sea level rise projections of up to2100 due to the melting of the Greenland ice sheet. The red shaded area — this is a projection of the pessimistic scenario, and the blue shaded — projection of an optimistic scenario. Credit: Heiko Geltzer et al.Cryosphere, September 17, 2020

Until the beginning of the 21st century, the ice sheets of WesternAntarctica and Greenland typically gained as much mass as they lost. In other words, the runoff was offset by fresh snowfall. But over the past two decades, increasing rates of global warming have upset this balance. 

In a study published earlier this month inNature Climate Change magazine, Scientists predicted sea level rise of a maximum of 40 cm by 2100. The authors of the study, published Thursday in a special issue of the journal"Cryosphere, Said it highlights the role of emissions in rising sea levels this century.

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