A new international study by the Center for Research on Climate and Atmosphere (CARE-C) of the Cyprus Institute and
These events will be associated with excessively hightemperatures up to 56 ° C and higher in urban environments and can last for several weeks, being potentially life-threatening to humans and animals, even those resistant to high temperatures such as camels.
In the second half of the century, about halfMENA's population, or approximately 600 million people, may be exposed to these recurring extreme weather events each year that will affect health, agriculture and biodiversity.
In their work, scientists used the first in theira kind of multi-model ensemble of climate projections designed specifically for the geographical area of MENA. The researchers then predicted future hot spells and characterized them using the heatwave magnitude index. It allows one to quantify the intensity of individual events, taking into account both their duration and the temperature anomaly itself.
Such detailed studies to reducescale in this region were absent. The scientific community involved in regional climate modeling is mainly concentrated in Europe and North America. There has been little interest and limited funding for studying the impacts of climate change in the Mediterranean and North African region.
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