Scientists from Nanjing University, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Texas University
Typically, sustained warming is estimated on the assumption that future changes will largely beBut we now know that this is a wrong assumption.
Mark Zelinka, Atmospheric Scientist at LLNL
Most of the planet's surface has warmed, but some regions, such as the Southern Ocean, have not.The lack of warming contributes to the formation of low clouds over these regions, which reflectsunlightback into space and cools the planet a lot.When this happens, the low clouds will decrease, allowingThe Earth will absorb more sunlight and contribute to additional warming.
The team found that future warming will be about 2.3 degrees, which is above pre-industrial levels.This figure exceeds the limits set in the Paris Agreement.
The results show that humanity is more likely toin total, produced enough carbon dioxide to exceed the 2°C threshold. The researchers note that when net emissions approach zero, the rate of ongoing sustained warming will be very low. This means that if humanity can bring net emissions to near zero soon, it could take centuries for global temperatures to rise to two degrees.
Read more:
Abortion and science: what will happen to the children who will give birth
See how the moon appeared. Ancient planet crashed into Earth
An artificial object was found in soil samples from the asteroid Ryugu. Like this?