Seismologists have predicted where the next strong earthquake will occur in Turkey

Geophysicists from the University of Southern California used remote sensing to study the area

fault associated with the February earthquake. The analysis showed that part of the fault remained blocked and another earthquake of magnitude 6.8 could occur in the future.

Strong earthquakes occur due to displacementtectonic plates. Slowly moving pieces of the earth's crust are pressed against each other, gradually accumulating strength over a long time. When the plates slide off, the energy explodes in traveling waves through the earth's crust, causing an earthquake.

Close to the Pyturge region in eastern Turkeythe researchers recorded seismic activity without slippage along the fault associated with the previous quake. This means that part of the slab is blocked or stuck, but it can move in the future at any time.

Seismic data analysis. The white frame shows the area corresponding to the Pyturge area where the plates are "stuck". Image: University of Southern California

Although researchers cannot say when this earthquake will occur, understanding the location and potential power allows you to prepare for this event and avoid dire consequences.

We have this region where we can expectan earthquake of magnitude 6.8, and two conclusions follow from this. The people must be ready for this. And the scientific community should prepare a monitoring experiment to see how an earthquake begins and ends.

Sylvain Barbeau, study co-author

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