What will be the new wave of coronavirus if it starts: three scenarios

Infectious disease doctor, Professor Nikolai Malyshev commented on the forecast for the incidence of coronavirus,

made by the ETNA analytics and forecasting service based on artificial intelligence algorithms. Discuss

According to the neural network, there will be three scenarios in Russiamorbidity development: moderate, optimistic and pessimistic. And depending on one scenario or another, the incidence may end from mid-September to November. Malyshev noted that AI calculations show small time discrepancies in relation to the peak and end of the coronavirus wave.

According to him, doctors constantly monitorsituation and see how the infection of the population is going. At first, about 50 thousand cases per day were recorded, then there was a decrease, and now there is a slight increase again.

The doctor also stressed that in September, apparently, the wave of incidence will decrease and the peak will be passed. At the same time, experts expected more morbidity, but now the situation has reached a plateau.

In addition, according to the expert, the waves of the incidence of coronavirus will gradually “fade out”.

“We are always waiting for the covid to become like an acute respiratory disease.I think that the light at the end of the tunnel is visible, the waves should gradually fade. I think the next wave, as usual, will begin in November. It seems to me that every time we will see the attenuation of these waves, and in the end we will come to the conclusion that the coronavirus will be like other respiratory infections, ”the doctor suggested.